bubble
Bubble
The bubble refers to the stage in a tournament where only one more elimination is needed before the money bubble (the point where players start receiving prize money). At this point, all remaining players are close to getting paid but have not yet officially entered the money. The core meaning is: eliminated players will receive nothing, while survivors will at least get the minimum prize. In practice, bubble strategy changes significantly—short-stacked players tend to be conservative, avoiding risk of elimination; big-stacked players may exploit opponents' fear by frequently raising and applying pressure to accumulate chips. Understanding bubble dynamics is crucial for tournament profitability, as it directly affects risk preferences in decision-making and opponents' behavior.
What is a Bubble?
The Bubble is the stage in a tournament where 1-2 eliminations are needed before reaching the money. This is the period of highest ICM pressure.
Bubble Strategy
- Big stack: Apply pressure on medium stacks
- Medium stack: Avoid conflict with big stacks
- Short stack: Look for a shove spot, cannot wait any longer
Bubble Factor
Bubble factor = Current $EV / $EV without ICM. The lower the factor, the greater the ICM pressure.