SB Fold to C-Bet

Overview

SB Fold to C-Bet is a statistic in poker tracking software that measures how often a player in the Small Blind (Small Blind) folds when facing a continuation bet (Continuation Bet) on the flop. This data is typically displayed as a percentage, reflecting the SB’s defensive tendency when out of position (OOP) against a flop bet.

Calculation

The metric is calculated using the following formula:

• Numerator: The number of times the SB folds to a continuation bet on the flop.
• Denominator: The total number of times the SB faces a continuation bet on the flop (including folds, calls, and raises).
• Sample Size: It is recommended to have at least 50 opportunities facing a continuation bet to avoid sample bias.

Interpretation

• High (e.g., >75%): Indicates the SB frequently folds on the flop, possibly being too conservative or having a weak range. Opponents can frequently continuation bet against the SB to steal pots.
• Low (e.g., <50%): Suggests the SB defends aggressively, often calling or raising. Opponents should be cautious with continuation bets and consider a value-heavy betting range.
• Typical Range: In online games below 100NL, regular players typically have an SB Fold to C-Bet between 60% and 75%, depending on flop texture, opponent tendencies, and stack depth.

Strategic Applications

1. Against high fold players: As the pre-flop raiser, when the SB has a high fold rate, you can continuation bet with a wider range on the flop to frequently take down the pot.
2. Against low fold players: Reduce pure bluff continuation bets, instead betting more for value; consider a check-raise on the flop or a delayed c-bet.
3. Self-adjustment: The SB should balance their fold rate to avoid being predictable. For example, on dry flops (like K-7-2 rainbow), you can call more often, while on wet flops (like 9-8-3 two-tone), defend cautiously.

Limitations

This statistic does not account for later street actions (e.g., turn fold rate), opponent bet sizing, or the player's actual hand strength. It should be combined with other data (e.g., SB call rate vs continuation bet, raise rate) for a comprehensive assessment.