UTG+1 Fold to 4-Bet

Overview

The UTG+1 Fold to 4-Bet is a positional statistic commonly used in online poker tracking software (e.g., PokerTracker 4, Hold'em Manager). It quantifies how often a player in the UTG+1 seat (the seat immediately to the left of the under-the-gun player) folds when facing a 4-bet after they have initiated a 3-bet. This stat helps opponents and the player themselves understand tendencies in deep-stack, high-stakes situations where multiple raises occur preflop.

Calculation

The stat is calculated as:

[UTG+1 Fold to 4-Bet](/term/utg-1-fold-to-4-bet) = (Number of times [UTG+1](/term/utg-1) folds to a [4-bet](/term/4-bet) after 3-betting) / (Total number of times [UTG](/term/utg)+1 faces a 4-[bet](/term/bet) after 3-betting from [UTG](/term/utg)+1) × 100%

Only hands where all of the following conditions are met are included:

• The player is seated in the UTG+1 position.
• The player makes a 3-bet (i.e., re-raises an initial open-raise).
• The player then faces a 4-bet (a re-re-raise).
• The player has the option to call, fold, or 5-bet; the stat tracks only fold decisions.

Note: If the player open-raises from UTG+1 and then faces a 4-bet (without a 3-bet in between), that scenario is not counted here; it falls under a different stat such as "Fold to 4-Bet After Raise" or is considered a cold 4-bet situation.

Interpretation

A high UTG+1 Fold to 4-Bet value (e.g., > 60%) indicates that the player is reluctant to commit more chips after their 3-bet is met with a 4-bet. This suggests they are 3-betting with a polarized range (often including weaker hands like suited connectors or low pocket pairs) and are unwilling to continue against a 4-bet without a premium hand. Conversely, a low value (e.g., < 30%) suggests the player is willing to call or 5-bet, indicating a more value-heavy 3-betting range or a willingness to play large pots.

Because UTG+1 is an early position, 3-betting from this seat is less common than from later positions. Therefore, sample sizes for this stat are often small, and it should be interpreted with caution. A player with a high fold frequency might be exploitable: opponents can 4-bet them light to force folds. However, if the player often 5-bets or calls, opponents may choose to 4-bet only with strong hands.

Strategic Implications

• Exploitation: If an opponent has a high UTG+1 Fold to 4-Bet, you can profitably 4-bet them with a wider range, including some bluffs, knowing they will fold often.
• Adjustment: Players with a very low fold frequency may be trapping or playing very aggressively; you might tighten your 4-bet range or consider flatting the 3-bet to keep the pot smaller.
• Sample Size: Always consider the number of opportunities. A stat based on fewer than 10-15 samples may be unreliable. In such cases, rely on broader positional tendencies or overall Fold to 4-Bet.

Limitations

Like all HUD stats, this one does not account for stack sizes, opponent tendencies, or the specific betting dynamics of each hand. For example, a player might fold more often when short-stacked or when facing a 4-bet from a tight opponent. The stat should be used as one piece of the puzzle, combined with other reads and situational awareness.

Related Terms

• UTG+1: The position to the immediate left of the player under the gun.
• 3-Bet: The first re-raise in a hand, typically against an open-raise.
• 4-Bet: A re-re-raise against a 3-bet.
• Fold to 3-Bet: The frequency of folding to a 3-bet after open-raising.
• UTG+1 3-Bet Range: The range of hands a player is likely to 3-bet from UTG+1.