HJ Fold to Steal
HJ Fold to Steal
The percentage of times a player in the Hijack position folds when facing a raise from a later position (cutoff, button, or blinds) in a steal attempt.
Overview
HJ Fold to Steal is a poker statistic commonly tracked in online HUDs (Heads-Up Displays) that measures how often a player in the Hijack (HJ) position folds when facing a preflop raise from a later position—typically the cutoff, button, or small blind. This metric helps assess a player's propensity to defend their blind or open-limp range against steals.
Usage in Strategy
A high HJ Fold to Steal percentage (e.g., above 70%) indicates that the player frequently surrenders their hand to late-position aggression, making them a profitable target for steals. Conversely, a low percentage (e.g., below 40%) suggests they defend widely, often with calls or 3-bets.
Adjustments
- Against high fold to steal: Increase stealing frequency from later positions, especially with a wider range (e.g., suited connectors, weak aces).
- Against low fold to steal: Tighten stealing ranges and consider trapping or isolating with stronger hands.
Typical Values
- Tight-passive players: 80%+ (fold often, rarely defend)
- Loose-aggressive players: 40–60% (defend more, but still fold a moderate amount)
- GTO-optimal: Approximately 50–60% depending on stack sizes and antes.
Contextual Factors
- Stack depth: Deeper stacks encourage more defense; shorter stacks increase fold frequency due to ICM pressure.
- Table dynamics: Frequent 3-bets from blinds can lower HJ fold to steal as the HJ may trap or call more.
- Opponent tendencies: Adjustments should account for the stealer's own statistics (e.g., steal attempt %, 3-bet %).
Related Terms
- Steal: A raise from late position intended to win the blinds and limps.
- Hijack (HJ): The position two seats to the right of the button.
- Fold to Steal: The general metric for any position facing a steal (e.g., BTN Fold to Steal).
- Defend vs Steal: The opposite action of calling or raising a steal attempt.