Flop C-Bet Frequency Chart: CO vs BB Scenario Analysis

Position Scenario Description

Scenario: 6-max, effective stack 100BB. CO raises first to 2.5BB, BB calls. Flop: T♥9♠4♦ (moderately wet, possible straight draws). Ranges: CO ~22% starting hands, BB defense range ~40-50%.

Recommended Range

CO continuation bet range (approximately 65-70% of total range):

• Value bets (~25%): Top pair or better, including TT, 99, 44, AT, KT, JT, T9s, 98s, etc., and two pair or better.
• Betting draws (~15%): Open-ended straight draws (e.g., QJ, 87), flush draws (e.g., A♥X♥, K♥X♥), and pair+draw (e.g., J9, Q9).
• Bluff bets (~25%): Backdoor flush draws with gutshots (e.g., A♣Q♣, K♣J♣), pure air (e.g., A5o, K8o), but select hands with blockers (e.g., A, K high) to avoid being outdrawn when called.
• Check range (~35%): Middle pairs (e.g., 77-88), weak top pair (e.g., A4, K4), low pair draws (e.g., 65s), and complete air (e.g., Q2s).

Range Construction Logic

Based on GTO principles, bet frequency depends on board structure, stack depth, and opponent's defense range. On T♥9♠4♦:

• Moderately wet board; BB has many top pairs and draws, so CO needs a wider betting range to balance value and bluffs.
• Among value bets, very strong hands (e.g., TT) should be slow-played partially to avoid being exploited; top pair (e.g., KTo) tends to bet for value, but frequency can be lowered if opponent raises often.
• Betting draws uses fold equity, especially when opponent's checking range is weak.
• Bluff bets should have backdoor draws or block straights/flushes to increase success rate.

Adjustment Factors

Adjust based on opponent and dynamics:

• High opponent check-fold rate: Increase bluff bet proportion (e.g., add more A-high hands).
• Aggressive opponent raising: Reduce thin value bets (e.g., KTo), slow-play stronger hands more.
• Opponent calls too wide: Narrow bluff range, increase number of value bets.
• Flop structure: On dry boards (e.g., K♠8♦2♣) bet frequency can be higher (~75%), on wet boards (e.g., J♠9♠6♥) lower (~60%) to avoid being outdrawn by draws.

GTO Reference

Using solvers, on T♥9♠4♦ GTO recommends CO bet frequency around 65%, with value-to-bluff ratio roughly 1:1 (including draws). Example combos and frequencies:

Practical Application

1. Calculate bet frequency: Recommended range bets ~65%, but can adjust to 50-75% depending on opponent.
2. Balance strategy: Ensure value-to-bluff ratio is within 1:1.5 to avoid being exploited.
3. Use blockers: For example, holding A♣ blocks opponent's A♣X♣ flush draw, allowing increased pure bluff frequency.
4. Dynamic adjustment: If flop is A♠J♠T♦, BB's range is stronger, CO bet frequency should drop to around 55%.

Memory tip: On moderately wet boards, the continuation bet range is about 2/3 of total range, with roughly half value/draws and half bluffs.