MP Fold to C-Bet
MP Fold to C-Bet
MP Fold to C-Bet is a poker HUD statistic that measures how often a player in middle position folds to a continuation bet on the flop.
Definition
MP Fold to C-Bet is a poker HUD (Heads-Up Display) statistic that tracks the frequency with which a player in middle position (MP) folds when facing a continuation bet (C-Bet) on the flop. It is typically expressed as a percentage and is used to assess a player's tendency to give up after the flop when they are out of position or have missed the board.
Detailed Explanation
- MP (Middle Position): In a full-ring 9-handed game, MP generally refers to seats 4-6 (UTG+1, MP1, MP2). In 6-max, MP is the third position (UTG or UTG+1 depending on convention). The statistic applies regardless of whether the player was the preflop raiser or caller.
- C-Bet (Continuation Bet): A bet made by the preflop raiser on the flop. The player in MP may be the raiser or the caller; the stat tracks their fold response when facing a C-Bet from any opponent.
- Calculation: (Number of folds to C-Bet in MP) / (Number of opportunities to face a C-Bet in MP) × 100%. It excludes cases where the player checks or bet themselves.
Strategic Implications
A high MP Fold to C-Bet (e.g., above 65%) suggests a player is often unwilling to continue without a strong hand or good draw, making them exploitable by frequent C-Betting. A low statistic (e.g., below 45%) indicates a player who frequently calls or raises, often defending with floats or pairs, which can be exploited by polarizing bets or delayed C-Bets.
However, sample size matters: a few hundred hands are needed for reliable data. The stat should be combined with other metrics like MP VPIP, PFR, and WTSD to avoid misinterpretation.
Typical Ranges
- Tight players: 70-85% fold to C-Bet in MP.
- Aggressive players: 45-55% fold to C-Bet in MP.
- Average regs: 55-65% fold to C-Bet in MP.
These ranges vary by opponent and stack depth; deeper stacks encourage more calls.