Poker Term

MP Fold to Check-Raise

MP Fold to Check-Raise

The percentage of times a player in middle position folds after betting and facing a check-raise.

What is MP Fold to Check-Raise?

MP Fold to Check-Raise is a poker HUD statistic that measures how often a player in middle position (MP) folds when they bet and then face a check-raise. It is expressed as a percentage and is derived from historical hand data.

Importance in Poker Strategy

This stat helps identify how a player reacts to aggression after they have shown betting initiative. A high percentage indicates that the player is likely to fold to a check-raise, making them a good target for check-raising with a wide range. A low percentage suggests the player will call or re-raise, making check-raising less profitable.

How to Interpret

  • High MP Fold to Check-Raise (e.g., 70%+): The player is folding often when check-raised. Consider check-raising them more frequently, even with marginal hands.
  • Low MP Fold to Check-Raise (e.g., below 40%): The player is sticky or aggressive. Avoid check-raising them without strong hands, or use it as a bluff only with good reads.

Note of Caution

Sample size matters. This stat can be volatile with few hands. Also, it does not distinguish between types of hands (e.g., top pair vs. draws). Use in conjunction with other stats like MP Bet, Check-Raise Frequency, and general aggression.

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