Fold to Steal from MP
Fold to Steal from MP
The frequency with which a player folds when facing a steal raise from late position while they are in middle position.
Overview
Fold to Steal from MP is a poker HUD statistic that measures how often a player in middle position (MP) folds when facing a steal attempt from a late position player (typically cutoff or button). It is a subset of the general "Fold to Steal" stat, which tracks fold frequency from all positions, but this version specifically isolates the player's behavior in middle position.
Interpretation
- High percentage (e.g., > 70%): Indicates the player is folding too often to steals from late position while in MP. Opponents can exploit this by raising more frequently when the player is in MP, especially with a wide range.
- Low percentage (e.g., < 40%): Suggests the player defends their blind or calls/raises often. This can be exploited by tightening up steal attempts against them, as they will not fold easily.
Strategy Implications
- Against a player with a high Fold to Steal from MP: You can profitably steal with a wider range when they are in MP, including weaker hands. However, be cautious if they adjust by 3-betting more often.
- Against a player with a low Fold to Steal from MP: You should narrow your stealing range to stronger hands, as they are likely to call or raise. Consider using position to your advantage post-flop if they call.
- Your own stat: If your Fold to Steal from MP is too high, you risk being exploited by aggressive opponents. Try defending your blind more often (calling or 3-betting) to maintain balance. If it is too low, you may be getting involved in too many pots out of position, which can be costly.
Typical Ranges
- Tight player: 65-80%
- Normal player: 45-60%
- Loose player: 30-45%
- Aggressive defender: < 30%
These ranges depend on game dynamics, stack sizes, and opponent tendencies.
Note
This statistic is usually tracked over a large sample size (hundreds or thousands of hands) to be reliable. It is often used in conjunction with other stats like "Steal Attempt" and "Fold to Steal" from other positions to build a complete picture of a player's blind defense strategy.