Variance / Sample Size Estimation
Editor: dezhoupuke.orgRelated Glossary
Hyper Turbo
Hyper Turbo
A tournament structure with extremely short blind levels typically 3-5 minutes and often antes from the first level, de…
Final Table Deal
Final Table Deal
A final table deal is an agreement among remaining players in a poker tournament to redistribute the remaining prize po…
Win Rate
Win Rate
Win rate is a statistical measure of a poker player's profit per hand or per hour, typically expressed in big blinds pe…
Hourly Rate
Hourly Rate
Hourly Rate is the average amount of money a poker player wins per hour of play, used to measure profitability.
Risk of Ruin
Risk of Ruin
The probability that a poker player will lose their entire bankroll before recovering from downswings, given their win …
Run Good
Run Good
In poker, 'Run Good' describes a period during which a player experiences favorable luck, consistently winning hands or…
Run Bad
Run Bad
A describing a period during which a player consistently loses money despite making correct strategic decisions, typica…
Short Stack Cash
Short Stack Cash
A cash game strategy where a player buys in for a short stack, typically 20-40 big blinds, and employs a simplified, hi…
Run It Multiple Times
Run It Multiple Times
A poker practice where, in an all-in situation, players agree to deal the remaining board cards multiple times, with ea…
Run It Once
Run It Once
A referring to the practice of dealing only one complete board community cards to determine the winner of a hand, as op…
Winning Player
Winning Player
A poker player who achieves a positive net profit over a significant sample size, typically measured over thousands of …
Breakeven Player
Breakeven Player
A poker player whose long-term win rate is approximately zero, meaning they neither consistently profit nor lose money …
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Satellite tournaments have a unique payout structure: everyone who makes the money receives the same ticket or prize. Therefore, the strategic focus shifts from 'maximizing win rate' to 'ensuring survival.' This article delves into the trade-offs between min-cashing and winning, using ICM principles and practical examples to help you make optimal decisions in the late stages of a satellite.
Embracing Variance: The Variance Acceptance Framework in Poker
The Variance Acceptance Framework helps poker players cope with the uncertainty of short-term results both psychologically and strategically. This article explains how to reduce emotional interference from variance by adjusting mindset, bankroll management, and decision logic, thereby achieving long-term stable profits.
Variance and Bankroll Cushion: Essential Survival Rules for Poker Players
Variance is an inevitable random outcome in poker. A bankroll cushion is the core strategy for players to withstand downside risk and maintain long-term profitability. This article deeply explains the principles of variance, provides practical bankroll management formulas and psychological coping techniques to help you build a solid poker career.
The Truth: Variance in Poker, Do You Really Understand It?
Variance is an eternal topic in poker, but most players misunderstand it. Starting from the definition, this article analyzes the essence of variance, explains why short-term results cannot reflect true skill level, and provides strategic advice for rationally dealing with variance.
Poker Bankroll Management: Risk of Ruin Calculator and Practical Risk Management Model
This article details the calculation formula and principles of poker risk of ruin, and provides a simple risk management model to help players quantify bankroll safety and set entry thresholds. It includes specific numerical examples, usage steps, and common questions.
Poker Variance Calculation: Guide to Winrate, Standard Deviation, and Sample Size
This article explains the concept of variance in poker from scratch, teaches you how to calculate the standard deviation of winrate, and determines the required sample size to obtain reliable results. Suitable for beginner to intermediate players to understand the nature of fluctuations and avoid common statistical pitfalls.
Poker Bankruptcy Probability Calculation and Risk Management Model: Tool Guide
This article introduces essential bankruptcy probability calculation tools and risk management models for professional poker players, including the Kelly criterion, safe betting method, and practical application examples, to help you protect your bankroll during variance and achieve long-term profitability.
Related Tools
Related Players
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Xuan Tan
China
Xuan Tan is a Chinese high-stakes poker professional renowned for his aggressive Short Deck play and multiple Triton Poker Series titles. With over $12 million in live earnings, he ranks among the top five on the China All-Time Money List. A former businessman turned poker pro, Tan is known for his fearless, high-variance style and calm demeanor at the tables.
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Feizal Satchu
Canada
Feizal Satchu is a Canadian professional poker player with career live tournament earnings exceeding $734,000. He has recorded 91 cashes in live events, with his most recent cash coming in June 2026. Known for a steady, disciplined approach, Satchu has built his results through consistent deep runs in mid-stakes tournaments rather than a single headline victory.
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Mikael Fisbein
France
Mikael Fisbein is a French professional poker player recognized for his aggressive and high-variance style. He has made a name for himself in both online and live poker arenas, particularly in high-stakes cash games.
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Saverio Esposito
Italy
Saverio Esposito is a professional poker player from Italy, known primarily for online high-stakes cash games, whose aggressive style is quite recognizable in the poker community.
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Mats Orstad
Norway
Mats Orstad is a Norwegian professional poker player known for his high-stakes online prowess, particularly in Pot-Limit Omaha and mixed games. He has achieved notable results in live tournaments including the World Series of Poker, but his precise career earnings and bracelet counts are not publicly documented.
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Andreas Samuelsson
Sweden
Andreas Samuelsson is a Swedish professional poker player with career live earnings exceeding $850,000, built through 57 recorded cashes. Known for a steady, low-variance style, he has achieved notable results in European tournaments, including a runner-up finish in an EPT event and multiple WSOP cashes.
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Joel Micka
United States
Joel Micka is an American professional poker player recognized for his aggressive and high-variance style in online high-stakes games and select live tournaments. While his public tournament results are limited, he has gained attention in the poker community for his unconventional approach and appearances on poker livestreams.
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William Yantis
United States
William Yantis is an American professional poker player known for his aggressive and unconventional style. He gained fame in the online high-stakes community and has been a subject of numerous poker folklore stories. His career is highlighted by notable cash game sessions and a reputation for volatility.
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Essential Information and Tips for Poker Tournament Buy-Ins: A Roadmap to Success
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Same Two Players Finish First and Second in Back-to-Back PLO Events
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